Manifold Markets

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We are a free play-money predictions website! Anyone can ask a question about anything they like, and we will create a market for it for your friends and others to trade on! Whether it's serious political topics, or silly markets about if your friend will get a date before you, we have it all!

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Press X to Doubt — Journalism Edition (Patrick McKenzie)

Press X to Doubt — Journalism Edition (Patrick McKenzie) Manifold Markets

1.7K views - 1 year ago

Tech Trees for an Ambitious Future — Allison Duettmann

Tech Trees for an Ambitious Future — Allison Duettmann Manifold Markets

639 views - 1 year ago

The Elegance of Land Value Taxes — Nate Foss

The Elegance of Land Value Taxes — Nate Foss Manifold Markets

2.3K views - 1 year ago

Science Funding Should Be Capricious — Samo Burja

Science Funding Should Be Capricious — Samo Burja Manifold Markets

834 views - 1 year ago

Academia and Prediction Markets — John Phillips (PredictIt)

Academia and Prediction Markets — John Phillips (PredictIt) Manifold Markets

160 views - 1 year ago

Starting a Microschool — Kelsey Piper and June Kreml

Starting a Microschool — Kelsey Piper and June Kreml Manifold Markets

787 views - 1 year ago

Homo Economicus Wannabees — Daniel Reeves

Homo Economicus Wannabees — Daniel Reeves Manifold Markets

404 views - 1 year ago

The Politics of Election Market Bans — Jeremiah Johnson, Maxim Lott, Peter Hammon

The Politics of Election Market Bans — Jeremiah Johnson, Maxim Lott, Peter Hammon Manifold Markets

123 views - 1 year ago

The Future of Prediction Markets James Grugett

The Future of Prediction Markets James Grugett Manifold Markets

329 views - 1 year ago

Retrofund More than Just Crypto — Evan Miyazono

Retrofund More than Just Crypto — Evan Miyazono Manifold Markets

204 views - 1 year ago

Forecasting AI Risks — Ben Mann

Forecasting AI Risks — Ben Mann Manifold Markets

672 views - 1 year ago

Discount Rates with Byrne Hobart

Discount Rates with Byrne Hobart Manifold Markets

957 views - 1 year ago

A Fireside Chat with Kalshi CTO Luana Lopez Lara

A Fireside Chat with Kalshi CTO Luana Lopez Lara Manifold Markets

17.9K views - 1 year ago

What will March 2020 for AI look like? (Dwarkesh Patel)

What will March 2020 for AI look like? (Dwarkesh Patel) Manifold Markets

10.7K views - 1 year ago

Cultural Drift — Robin Hanson

Cultural Drift — Robin Hanson Manifold Markets

3.5K views - 1 year ago

The Future of Substack — Fireside Chat with CEO Chris Best

The Future of Substack — Fireside Chat with CEO Chris Best Manifold Markets

525 views - 1 year ago

Forecasting the Biological Century — Razib Khan

Forecasting the Biological Century — Razib Khan Manifold Markets

1.4K views - 1 year ago

FutureSearch: Integrating AI into Forecasting with Dan Schwarz

FutureSearch: Integrating AI into Forecasting with Dan Schwarz Manifold Markets

515 views - 1 year ago

The Two Cultures — Agnes Callard & Robin Hanson

The Two Cultures — Agnes Callard & Robin Hanson Manifold Markets

1.3K views - 1 year ago

Fireside Chat with Nate Silver and Scott Alexander

Fireside Chat with Nate Silver and Scott Alexander Manifold Markets

9.7K views - 1 year ago

Betting on the Peloponnesian War — Michael Wheatley

Betting on the Peloponnesian War — Michael Wheatley Manifold Markets

561 views - 1 year ago

Will Machine Learning Revolutionize Loans? (Fireside Chat with Paul Gu)

Will Machine Learning Revolutionize Loans? (Fireside Chat with Paul Gu) Manifold Markets

714 views - 1 year ago

Predicting War Markets by Douglas Campbell and Abhishek Kylasa

Predicting War Markets by Douglas Campbell and Abhishek Kylasa Manifold Markets

1.7K views - 2 years ago

Functions as Forecasts by Ozzie Gooen

Functions as Forecasts by Ozzie Gooen Manifold Markets

521 views - 2 years ago

Fireside Chat: Patrick McKenzie

Fireside Chat: Patrick McKenzie Manifold Markets

1.2K views - 2 years ago

Prediction Markets vs Financial Markets by Byrne Hobart

Prediction Markets vs Financial Markets by Byrne Hobart Manifold Markets

950 views - 2 years ago

Revolution Strategies by Robin Hanson

Revolution Strategies by Robin Hanson Manifold Markets

1.4K views - 2 years ago

Manifold Founders Q+A by Austin Chen, Stephen Grugett and James Grugett

Manifold Founders Q+A by Austin Chen, Stephen Grugett and James Grugett Manifold Markets

250 views - 2 years ago

Eliezer vs Destiny Debate

Eliezer vs Destiny Debate Manifold Markets

7.3K views - 2 years ago

Nate Silver Fireside Chat

Nate Silver Fireside Chat Manifold Markets

915 views - 2 years ago

Genetic Enhancement: Prediction Markets for Future People by Jonathan Anomaly

Genetic Enhancement: Prediction Markets for Future People by Jonathan Anomaly Manifold Markets

1.4K views - 2 years ago

Parenting & Pronatalism by Malcom & Simone Collins, Byrne Hobart and Zvi Mowshowitz

Parenting & Pronatalism by Malcom & Simone Collins, Byrne Hobart and Zvi Mowshowitz Manifold Markets

1.9K views - 2 years ago

The Future of Trust and Evidence, in the Age of AI by Emmett Shear

The Future of Trust and Evidence, in the Age of AI by Emmett Shear Manifold Markets

1.5K views - 2 years ago

Improving Biomedical Research by Gavriel Kleinwaks

Improving Biomedical Research by Gavriel Kleinwaks Manifold Markets

175 views - 2 years ago

Biggest Questions in AI Forecasting by Matthew Barnett

Biggest Questions in AI Forecasting by Matthew Barnett Manifold Markets

466 views - 2 years ago

How Prediction Markets Work by Stephen Grugett

How Prediction Markets Work by Stephen Grugett Manifold Markets

458 views - 2 years ago

Moderating Manifold Markets by David Chee

Moderating Manifold Markets by David Chee Manifold Markets

222 views - 2 years ago

Political Betting Regulation: Pathways to Liberalization by Pratik Chougule

Political Betting Regulation: Pathways to Liberalization by Pratik Chougule Manifold Markets

446 views - 2 years ago

Improving AI benchmarks by Isabel Juniewicz

Improving AI benchmarks by Isabel Juniewicz Manifold Markets

347 views - 2 years ago

Prediction Markets Applied to Finance by Louis Clouatre-Latraverse

Prediction Markets Applied to Finance by Louis Clouatre-Latraverse Manifold Markets

309 views - 2 years ago

Prediction Markets Will Save the World by James Grugett

Prediction Markets Will Save the World by James Grugett Manifold Markets

509 views - 2 years ago

Prediction Markets in Journalism with Dylan Matthews and Scott Alexander

Prediction Markets in Journalism with Dylan Matthews and Scott Alexander Manifold Markets

7.5K views - 2 years ago