Predictable with Stu Burguiere

@UCcNGf_pnwo6u_pbcJv58Bmg - 105K subscribers

Predictable with Stu Burguiere uses prediction markets to explain politics, elections, sports, and culture through probabilities instead of narratives. Join Stu for daily analysis of the biggest stories shaping the news and the markets. Rather than chasing headlines, we focus on incentives, probabilities, and where conventional wisdom may be wrong. Whether it's elections, breaking news, sports, or the economy, the goal is simple: understand what's actually likely to happen. Understand the incentives. Spot the mispricing. Turn information into opportunity. Subscribe and start seeing the news differently. Substack: predictableshow.com Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/predictable-with-stu… Follow Predictable: X: x.com/predictableshow Instagram: www.instagram.com/predictableshow #predictable #predictionmarkets #predictableshow #stuburguiere #stu

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Size Does Matter | Amendment No. 16

Size Does Matter | Amendment No. 16 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

127 views - 16 hours ago

Check Both Sides of the Coin | Amendment No. 15

Check Both Sides of the Coin | Amendment No. 15 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

128 views - 17 hours ago

It Never Hurts to Ask | Amendment No. 14

It Never Hurts to Ask | Amendment No. 14 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

192 views - 1 day ago

The Order Book Is Your Friend | Amendment No. 13

The Order Book Is Your Friend | Amendment No. 13 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

192 views - 1 day ago

Don't Invest With Your Heart | Amendment No. 12

Don't Invest With Your Heart | Amendment No. 12 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

156 views - 2 days ago

Invest in the Thing, Not the Second-Order Effect | Amendment No. 11

Invest in the Thing, Not the Second-Order Effect | Amendment No. 11 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

195 views - 2 days ago

Root for the World You Want, Invest in the World You Have | Amendment No. 10

Root for the World You Want, Invest in the World You Have | Amendment No. 10 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

151 views - 3 days ago

Always Buy in Shares, Not Dollars | Amendment No. 9

Always Buy in Shares, Not Dollars | Amendment No. 9 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

132 views - 3 days ago

It's Okay to Stay Away | Amendment No. 8

It's Okay to Stay Away | Amendment No. 8 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

367 views - 4 days ago

Know Your A.P.R. | Amendment No. 7

Know Your A.P.R. | Amendment No. 7 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

148 views - 4 days ago

It's Not Investing If You Don't Know the Topic | Amendment No. 6

It's Not Investing If You Don't Know the Topic | Amendment No. 6 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

299 views - 4 days ago

Time = Risk | Amendment No. 5

Time = Risk | Amendment No. 5 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

148 views - 4 days ago

If You’re Rushing to Beat the Market, It’s Probably a Trap | Amendment No. 4

If You’re Rushing to Beat the Market, It’s Probably a Trap | Amendment No. 4 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

248 views - 5 days ago

It’s Easier to Predict What Won’t Happen | Amendment No. 3

It’s Easier to Predict What Won’t Happen | Amendment No. 3 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

111 views - 5 days ago

You’ve Gotta Read the Rules | Amendment No. 2

You’ve Gotta Read the Rules | Amendment No. 2 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

307 views - 5 days ago

There’s No Such Thing as a ‘Sure Thing’ | Amendment No. 1

There’s No Such Thing as a ‘Sure Thing’ | Amendment No. 1 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

198 views - 5 days ago

Everyone's Watching Platner. Stu Thinks Susan Collins Is the Bigger Story

Everyone's Watching Platner. Stu Thinks Susan Collins Is the Bigger Story Predictable with Stu Burguiere

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The BIGGEST Mistake First Timers Make (and How to Avoid It)

The BIGGEST Mistake First Timers Make (and How to Avoid It) Predictable with Stu Burguiere

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New Heinous Platner Allegations Turning Markets on Their Heads

New Heinous Platner Allegations Turning Markets on Their Heads Predictable with Stu Burguiere

just now

Stu’s Daughter Was ABSOLUTELY RIGHT About Taylor Swift

Stu’s Daughter Was ABSOLUTELY RIGHT About Taylor Swift Predictable with Stu Burguiere

just now

Louisiana and Colorado: Your Primary Primer

Louisiana and Colorado: Your Primary Primer Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1K views - 3 weeks ago

Profiting Off the Socialist Surge

Profiting Off the Socialist Surge Predictable with Stu Burguiere

552 views - 3 weeks ago

The Markets are Rethinking Trump's Biggest Election Advantage

The Markets are Rethinking Trump's Biggest Election Advantage Predictable with Stu Burguiere

974 views - 3 weeks ago

We Won BIG on Loser Hakeem Jeffries in One Wild and WEIRD Night

We Won BIG on Loser Hakeem Jeffries in One Wild and WEIRD Night Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1K views - 1 month ago

11 Wins, 2 Losses, and the Next Market I’m Watching

11 Wins, 2 Losses, and the Next Market I’m Watching Predictable with Stu Burguiere

538 views - 1 month ago

The Biggest Question in the Iran Peace Trade

The Biggest Question in the Iran Peace Trade Predictable with Stu Burguiere

859 views - 1 month ago

Here’s What to Look for as the Knicks Continue to Battle the Spurs in the NBA Finals

Here’s What to Look for as the Knicks Continue to Battle the Spurs in the NBA Finals Predictable with Stu Burguiere

750 views - 1 month ago

Election Night Winners and Losers

Election Night Winners and Losers Predictable with Stu Burguiere

661 views - 1 month ago

Here's How We Played Graham Platner

Here's How We Played Graham Platner Predictable with Stu Burguiere

358 views - 1 month ago

The Biggest Winners and Losers From Primary Night

The Biggest Winners and Losers From Primary Night Predictable with Stu Burguiere

915 views - 1 month ago

Primary Election PREVIEW

Primary Election PREVIEW Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1K views - 1 month ago

California's Rigged Counting

California's Rigged Counting Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.8K views - 1 month ago

Stu’s Upcoming Election Positions

Stu’s Upcoming Election Positions Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.3K views - 1 month ago

Can Pratt Pull it Off? Stu Hunts for Value in CA Election Fight

Can Pratt Pull it Off? Stu Hunts for Value in CA Election Fight Predictable with Stu Burguiere

597 views - 1 month ago

The Simple Rule Behind Stu’s Texas Win

The Simple Rule Behind Stu’s Texas Win Predictable with Stu Burguiere

627 views - 1 month ago

The Receipts From Our Texas Election Night Call

The Receipts From Our Texas Election Night Call Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.3K views - 1 month ago

A BIG Primary Night as More Elections Loom

A BIG Primary Night as More Elections Loom Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.4K views - 1 month ago

$8M Just Flipped In The Massie Primary

$8M Just Flipped In The Massie Primary Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.7K views - 1 month ago

Stu’s Trump Trade Is Quietly Crushing the Polls Again

Stu’s Trump Trade Is Quietly Crushing the Polls Again Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.7K views - 2 months ago

The 10x Trade Hiding In Louisiana.

The 10x Trade Hiding In Louisiana. Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.2K views - 2 months ago

'You Can't Earn a Billion Dollars' ??

'You Can't Earn a Billion Dollars' ?? Predictable with Stu Burguiere

565 views - 2 months ago

Stu Breaks Down the Shock AOC Poll

Stu Breaks Down the Shock AOC Poll Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.5K views - 2 months ago

NPR Tried to EXPOSE Prediction Markets… It Backfired Badly

NPR Tried to EXPOSE Prediction Markets… It Backfired Badly Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.6K views - 2 months ago

Prediction Markets Just Sent a BIG Midterm Warning

Prediction Markets Just Sent a BIG Midterm Warning Predictable with Stu Burguiere

4.3K views - 2 months ago

The Markets are Flashing Warning Signs in California

The Markets are Flashing Warning Signs in California Predictable with Stu Burguiere

2.2K views - 2 months ago

The Hidden Election Signal That Paid Off Big

The Hidden Election Signal That Paid Off Big Predictable with Stu Burguiere

2.3K views - 2 months ago

GameStop's Math Doesn't Work.

GameStop's Math Doesn't Work. Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.6K views - 2 months ago

Spare me the concern

Spare me the concern Predictable with Stu Burguiere

4K views - 2 months ago

Stu Explains the Iran Oil Shock and What It Signals for 2026

Stu Explains the Iran Oil Shock and What It Signals for 2026 Predictable with Stu Burguiere

2.2K views - 2 months ago

Supreme Court Just Flipped the Map on Democrats

Supreme Court Just Flipped the Map on Democrats Predictable with Stu Burguiere

4.1K views - 2 months ago

Is the GOP Heading for a Midterm Massacre?

Is the GOP Heading for a Midterm Massacre? Predictable with Stu Burguiere

1.9K views - 2 months ago

Markets React to Latest Attempt on Trump’s Life

Markets React to Latest Attempt on Trump’s Life Predictable with Stu Burguiere

2K views - 2 months ago

CFTC Chair Fires Back on Prediction Market Critics

CFTC Chair Fires Back on Prediction Market Critics Predictable with Stu Burguiere

2.2K views - 2 months ago

The Show I've Wanted to Make for Years

The Show I've Wanted to Make for Years Predictable with Stu Burguiere

7.3K views - 2 months ago

UPDATE: Stu Explains the Latest with Predictable

UPDATE: Stu Explains the Latest with Predictable Predictable with Stu Burguiere

4.7K views - 2 months ago